World Cup. Day 8. Germany and England will try to avoid each other in 1/8
First big team down and actually I am glad that it was France. Domenech is really poor coach for French side and I still wonder how could he hold on to this position for so long. In 2006 it wasn’t him who brought France into World Cup 
final, it was the majestic Zidane, and experienced Makelele and Thuram, who completely closed Ronaldinho and Kaka in the semi-final against Brasil. So farewell, France, wish you good luck with new coach Laurent Blanc! But now let’s get back to Day 8.
Germany and England got to do everything to finish 1st in their groups. Otherwise they will be meeting each other already in the 1/8 finals stage. Germans did what they had to do, won convincingly against Australians 4:0. But England managed to slip the victory through Green hands. Now they have to win and most likely have to win it with more then one goal advantage to secure good goal difference. In other match USA play Slovenia and football instinct tells me that USA should win, but I will probably will skip that match.
I will add one more bookmaker to my compassion table so its gonna be more informative. BET365 is somewhat similar to BWIN in terms of good friendly interface and big choice of bets. But comparing it to Bwin, it has better odds and they have all kind of asian handicap lines, which I think a very profitable bets.
|
Germany to win |
1.50 |
1.61 |
1.60 |
1.613 |
| Germany (-1 asian handicap) |
—— |
2.05 |
1.97 |
2.110 |
| Germany (-1,25 asian handicap) |
—— |
2.375 |
2.60 |
2.500 |
| Germany – Serbia, Over2,5 |
2.10 |
2.10 |
2.15 |
2.170 |
| England (-1,5) |
1.80 |
1.975 |
1.92 |
1.962 |
| England – Algeria, Over2,5 |
1.95 |
1.975 |
2.02 |
2.03 |
| USA to win |
2.05 |
2.10 |
2.12 |
2.150 |
| USA (-1 goal asian handicap) |
—– |
3.20 |
—— |
—— |
Actually I was a bit surprised that our local Optibet had 1 best odds bets in my comparison, but I guess early morning this situation will change.
Germany – Serbia
Pick: Germany (-1)
Stake: 5/10 Odds: 2.110
Bookmaker: Pinnacle
Germany showed one of the best football amongst all the teams in 1st round. Big factor in this was poor Australian defense performance, but still they made so many sharp passes and through balls, that they could have won even more. Serbia on the other hand came into previous match vs. Ghana as a favorite and the dark horse of this World Cup. In the end they showed nothing and lost 1:0 to the Africans. Those factors doesn’t mean automatically that you have to go all-in on Germany, but still I think a bet on the Germany with asian handicap -1 with odds over evens are good value to put an average bet. I think that Germany should win tomorrow and if they will play the same football there are a good chance that they will win it by 2 goals or more. Of course if they win only by 1 goals, we will return our bet back. Good, valuable, more less safe choice.
Slovenia – USA
Pick: USA (-1)
Stake: 3/10 Odds: 3.20
Bookmaker: BET365
I think this is simply huge value bet! USA has a quality side which they showed against England, while Slovenia showed poor understanding of what to do on the pitch against weak Algeria team. They were really lucky that Algeria players lack discipline and were red carded late into the game. And Slovenia was twice lucky cause of the goal they scored – keeper really should have caught that strike. I remember USA playing at the Confederations Cup last year and they were quite impressive as a team, beating reigning European Champions Spain and reaching the final, where they lost to the superior Brazil team. USA will win tomorrow and I think they can really win something like 2:0 or even 3:0, so I strongly suggest to give a try for a small bet on USA win with asian handicap -1 goal. Anyway we will get our money back, if USA win by 1 goal difference, but if they will do it convincingly with 2 goals difference or more, then its gonna be a good dividends on this bet.
England – Algeria
Pick: England (-1,5)
Stake: 5/10 Odds: 1.975
Bookmaker: BET365
Algeria was rather poor in first match and they lacked discipline on the pitch. Now they will face one of the favorites of the World Cup, who are very disappointed with a draw in the first match against USA and are desperately wishing to avoid Germany in the 1/8 finals. What can you expect from such match? I expect 5-4-1 line-up for the Algerians, defense for 90 minutes and 80% possession of the ball by England. England has much more quality for Algeria and they need goal difference. No chance for Algeria here, England will win by at least 2 goal difference.
