After a long break I am back with this blog and I will continue picking some good value picks. The only change of tactics is
that I will picking fewer picks, with teams or players in good form and only those whom I watched personally. I am also still running a blog at Blogabet.com, but as I have fewer time recently, it lacks some quality and quite often I’ve noticed that I have picked some matches, which are completely against the logic. I will improve on that, but that also means that I will have fewer picks posted there.
Jaro – HIK Helsinki. Betting preview (23/07/2011).
Back to my pick of the weekend. There is one team that brought a lot of profit recently and it’s HIK Helsinki from Finnland. Read more…
At last found some time to force myself into boring, but demanded task. It was for a while I wanted to calculate my results on the different kind of sport. It is always got to be done, just to see how would I do, if I wouldn’t get in some doubtful leagues (like Seria A or Russian Premier league). I will start with the sport that has a break now due to Olympic games, its KHL hockey league.
Overall stats: 
|
Bets placed |
Won |
Lost |
Win rate |
| 2008/09 |
44 |
26 |
18 |
59,09 % |
| 2009/10 |
21 |
17 |
4 |
80,95 % |
ROI table
|
Staked |
Results |
ROI |
| 2008/09 |
327 |
18,98 |
105,8043 |
| 2009/10 |
117 |
66,95 |
157,2222 |
| Overall |
444 |
85,93 |
119,3536 |
Average odds:
|
Av. odds |
| 2008/09 |
1,96 |
| 2009/10 |
2,03 |
| Overall |
1,99 |
By the way I’ve calculated also statistics on my results, if I would staked even stakes on each and every bet, instead of choosing the level of stake. The results surprised me, I would have had 125,45 ROI for 2 seasons. But thats a big IF and I will probably keep on choosing the level of stake I want to risk, so its going to be up to you how much you personally want to risk on those picks. Everybody has its own comfort level in terms of choosing the stake amount!
All the plans were ruined for me this weekend. I’ve planned to make 3 online trades, but due to bad internet connection problem failed to make it on Saturday. I was out of town and planned to make my trades using GPRS connection , but it
appears to be that interface of Betfair doesn’t work with slow connection. Looking back on it, if I would have started trading as usual, from the beginning, I would end up in minus. Anyway that was the only match where I didnt have exact plan how to execute my bets, Bundesliga is something new for me. 2nd match would have been perfect for my classic system – with a 0:0 up to the 40th minute and 2:0 at halftime I would have finished that match in good profit.
Early goals that is something interesting in such kind of experiments, cause as any system, it has to be tested in the conditions when all goes wrong. If we will manage to get out of such situations with minimal losses then I’m sure this system will bring us some profit. On Sunday there was one game… Read more…
I will keep on posting results of mine betting system with some interesting statistics from those matches. I will start with Arsenal – Manchester united game. In order to build right one strategy for betting inplay, we should know how the odds will change during the game in different scenarios. The more we know, the better we execute our online bets. It seems to be quite simple, but yet not everybody does such kind of analysis during inplay.
Here are useful stats from those 2 matches…
Read more…
that I will picking fewer picks, with teams or players in good form and only those whom I watched personally. I am also still running a blog at Blogabet.com, but as I have fewer time recently, it lacks some quality and quite often I’ve noticed that I have picked some matches, which are completely against the logic. I will improve on that, but that also means that I will have fewer picks posted there.
