Betfair trading: 2 successful results from yesterday

2 matches and both of them appeared to be successful in terms of trading @ Betfair. Both of them had similar patterns in the beginning, but completely different after the 1st goal was scored. Netherlands was a lucky overs result with 3rd goal scored with final touch. Brazil game made 2 quick goals, proving that one of my new rules appears to be the right one.

Basic rules for my yesterday’s trades were as follows. Pre-match bet – LAY of over2,5 goals. 15-20 min BACK of over2,5 goals. Then if the goal is scored in 1st half, then wait for 10 minutes and then LAY the bet. The reason for implementing such rule is simple – odds don’t rise that fast in first 10 minutes, especially when it is an early goal like in Netherlands game. But at the same time your trading can be destroyed by a 2 back-2-back goals, like in Brazil’s match case. I will develop this rules with time, but for the time of being it worked.

Here are the my moves in the Brazil – Chile match.

World Cup. Day 18. Brazil and Netherlands hot favorites to progress

Sorry for keeping quite for a weekend, had a football tournament to play, so I didn’t have a time to post my thoughts. Unfortunately whenever you don’t post your thoughts, all the picks come through. Uruguay win in regular time, Ghana (0) in regular time, Germany (0) in regular time + to progress and finally Argentina (-1) – almost all of those bets came through, only Ghana was pushed result as it finished 1:1 in regular time.

Today we have both Brazil and Netherlands as hot favorites in their pairs and both of them should come through into quarterfinals. Their opponents are both with some problems. Chile will have to deal without 3 first choice players (Gary Medel, nicknamed “Pitbull”, Waldo Ponce and Marco Estrada) who are suspended and Slovakia spend a lot of emotions in their final game against Italy. Both of the favorites had little trouble coming out of the group and last games played relaxed, saving some energy for the 1/8 finals. Dutch team has another massive boost in the face of Roben, who will be starting the game. While Brazil welcomes back Kaka, who comes after suspension. All the facts lead us to taking both team wins for a multiple or 2 single bets on asian handicap (-1).

World Cup. Day 14. When we will see real Dutch team?

Despite 2 wins out of 2, I can’t quite say that Holland have shown even 50% of their capabilities. They have great potential and I think that today we have a chance to see them in real action. I would tip Holland to go deep in the tournament, but they have 1 potential problem, in the quarterfinals they will most probably face Brazil team and that’s always a hard match for them. Italy will try to make sure they qualify, most probably from 2nd place. Paraguay will make sure today they will finish in 1st place, to book a meeting with Denmark or Japan in 1/8 final. Denmark – Japan always a risky match, there is so much at stake there.

I will post today only my picks for todays matches, those I’ve picked @ blogabet also.  Won’t have any time to make odd comparison, but believe me, I still can say that one of bookmakers will have them the best of all. Don’t even have to name it!

Cameroon – Holland

Pick:  Over 2.5
Stake:  8/10   Odds:  2.09
Bookmaker:  Pinnacle

World Cup. Day 9. Any surprises today?

Yesterday was an official bookmaker’s day, so many surprises all around. Germany match saw ridiculous refereeing, with a lot of yellow cards in first half that resulted one red for Klose, although game wasn’t that rude. Then it went all wrong for Germans, first attack after red card and goal from Serbia. Then it was crossbar in 1st half, the post in 2nd half, plus several Podolski misses, the biggest of them from poor penalty spot. Had 2 thoughts here, overs and Germany win, and both of them were buried by some row of wicked circumstances. Then next game USA have actually won, but referee canceled a clear goal by Edu. About last game I don’t want even to comment, simply bunch of impotents that’s what England was yesterday against Algeria. Poor England fans, I wouldn’t wish to be on their place yesterday evening. Such a big team and equally poor performance.

World Cup. Day 4. Netherlands in oranje-hot form start

About some of the teams we can say that they are in a red-hot form. About Dutch team that isn’t gonna sound quite right, they are surely in the oranje-hot form! Today is an interesting day of football with Netherlands playing an interesting fixture against Denmark. Eagerly anticipating Cameroon and Paraguay teams in action today, with a possible upset in the Italy – Paraguay match. So much more interesting football is expected today. Lets take a look on all of them.

Holland – Denmark

Pick:  Over 2.5
Stake:  5/10   Odds:  2.08
Bookmaker:  Pinnacle

I think what we can surely expect from this game is an attractive attacking football, perhaps even from both sides. Holland possess great players in every department. They have such a great squad that even the absence of Robben, doesn’t affect their strength, which would sound ridiculous for most of the teams. Schneider, Van der Vaart, Van Persie they are world class players and their performance in Friendlies showed that there is a perfect understanding between them.