How To Make Money Betting On NFL (by Betfair)

November 17, 2012 3 comments

A really interesting insight on betting in NFL from Romilly Evans, one of the expert at Betfair sports Brett Favre at his bestcommunity blog. Definetely worth reading – take your time guys and read it carefully, those points surely must be taken into account when building a successful strategy in NFL betting. Original is here: Betting @ Betfair blog

With a huge number of stats to study, years of form to guide you and a nation of enthusiasts poring over every game, the NFL betting markets are super competitive but there are ways to find an edge. Romily Evans explains all…

Back when I was a wee betting slip of a lad, some friends and I used to follow the tips of legendary Racing Post soccer boffin, Kevin Pullein. King Kev’s analysis of football markets was always insightful and often illuminating – apart from when it came to recommending a bet. In fact, he would regularly dissect a top-flight game from every which way before deducing that the bookmakers had got their odds about right and uttering his fabled finale: “conclusion: no bet.”

While that was a very frustrating take for a legion of loyal followers who only wanted a live wager on that night’s televised game, Pullein was right to exercise caution. Key Premier League markets are among the most exposed and solid in the business. Leaving aside the maxim proposing the glorious unpredictability of sport, there is no mystery as to what the odds should be.  Read more…


How to earn on overs / unders bets in NBA?

November 17, 2012 11 comments

Well most of us are trying to figure out how to raise profit from betting on sport, so called ROI. We all know the sports well, yet it is not the key to finding a successful model of making profit on betting. That’s the reason I would like to share my experiment on basketball betting (NBA, Euroleague, Eurocup, etc.).

There are several ways of making profit out of basketball, including handicap, moneyline and over / under betting. I will get my attention on the one that bothers me the most, thats overs/unders bets. And the main question is – is it worth to put a bet on it pre-match?  Read more…

WTA Istanbul. Final event. Day 2: Sharapova and Azarenka to win today

October 26, 2011 15 comments

So the tennis year is coming to an end and we have only 2 events left. This one in Istanbul, WTA Championships final event and men’s event in London in late November. First day gave us little surprises, as Kvitova and Wozniacki won, and Sharapova in her first match after injury lacked some competitive practice to win it. But overall Sharapova looked fine, ankle didn’t bother her and she looked determined as ever in her game plan. I truly expect her to win today against Na Li, but even after that win she will struggle to qualify for Semifinals.

First of all let me share with all of you a very useful preview of the tournament by Chris Chase.  Read more…

Sunday picks: Philadelphia Eagles to win against Redskins and overs bets.

October 16, 2011 21 comments

Just a quick look at Sunday sports events, sharing my thoughts. One game is the match I have been waiting from last sunday, when Eagles lost to Bills 31-24. Eagles are a dream team and they just have to start getting some results. All they need is to stop making mistakes.  2 other bets are overs from Spanish Segunda and Norway Adeccoligaen. Barcelona B plays attacking football, careless at the back. Guadalajara is just an attacking team. For me that’s a perfect formula for overs. Value is also still there. Norway’s Randaberg is also an overish team, so they also have a great chance to make another game with more then 3 or 4 goals.

Washington Redskins – Philadelphia Eagles

Pick:  Philadelphia (-3)                  Result: Pending

Stake: 10/10     Odds:  1.95

Bookmaker: PINNACLE

Philadelphia was considered as one of the favorites for the 2011 season Read more…

KHL 12/10/2011 preview: Dinamo Riga to revenge against Lev Poprad and some more.

October 12, 2011 3 comments

Well, after some row of good Dinamo Riga games and bad results, finally Dinamo recorded hard fought win 7:1 against Vityaz Chekhov. Don’t be fooled by the score, it was much closer then it is. After 1st period, despite Dinamo dominance in terms of shots, it still was 0:0. And even after 2nd period, when score was 3:1, Vityaz could have taken it in overtime. But they once again showed in what are they trully good. It is well known that Vityaz is known for it’s tough guys and famous fights against other teams (e.g. famous fight against Avangard team).  3rd period main stats that determined result – Vityaz 96 penalty minutes, including 2 minutes playing 5 on 3 and 9 minutes playing with a player less. Dinamo had an easy task in this case, to keep on playing hockey and score goals. Which they did. Not a massive result for Dinamo, but a win is a win. So, let’s get back to preview and match highlights… Read more…

KHL Hockey league: Dinamo Riga presents a value against Spartak Moscow

October 4, 2011 24 comments

Last my bet, where I tipped SKA easy win over Dinamo Riga was a completely correct pre-match and completely wrong in-play. Dinamo Riga found it’s game exactly in that game against one of the leaders (perhaps this rule must be remembered). The way Dinamo Riga played, they will surely bring some wins from this away series. They were quick, they defended well enough and they were shooting at every opportunity. With such game they have a great chances against Spartak Moscow. Odds also look tasty enough, to give them a try. Betfair offers 3.05 on Dinamo Riga and 2.40 on Money Line (incl. OT).

Looking at Head-2-head we can also pick up some arguments in favor of taking away side. 7 wins for Dinamo Riga and 3 wins for Spartak Moscow. Read more…

KHL hockey league: SKA St.Petersburg should win comfortably against Dinamo Riga

October 3, 2011 2 comments

Today I will take a look at both matches in KHL hockey league and both bets will be on home teams. SKA will welcome Dinamo Riga today in the a very contrasting contest, with SKA having a great start to the season and Dinamo Riga still searching for it’s new game under new coach.

SKA St Petersburg – Dinamo Riga
Pick: SKA St Petersburg (-1.5)  Result: PENDING
Stake: 6  Odds: 1.81
Bookmaker: PINNACLE  vCash: Yes

I will once again will divide pick on this match into 2 parts, overs and  handicap win. SKA under Miloš Říha are playing much more solid hockey and  after so many years they now represent a serious threat for other  Gagarin Cup contenders. Read more…